The Cleveland Browns and Denver Broncos meet in a battle of AFC squads on Monday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: Cleveland’s offence has been under constant change this season. I’m looking at two players — Nick Chubb and Jerry Jeudy — on the prop market in this contest.
Check out my Browns vs. Broncos best bets for Monday Night Football on Dec. 2.
Browns vs. Broncos best bets
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Best Bet: Chubb under 61.5 rushing yards (-114)
This line just seems too high.
Chubb’s return to football is an incredible story. The bruising Browns running back suffered a gruesome injury in 2023 and is back toting the ball a season later. It’s hard not to have immense respect for that.
This is where the but comes in. Chubb has been wildly inefficient. He’s averaging a minuscule 3.04 yards per carry on 73 totes this year.
In his defence, he’s not receiving much help from his offensive line. And that won’t change anytime soon, with three members of the unit (Jedrick Wills Jr., Joel Bitonio and Germain Ifedi) all on the injury report ahead of this contest.
The matchup doesn’t help his case, either. Denver’s defence has been excellent against the run. It’s one of four teams ceding fewer than four yards per carry (3.8) and is allowing the sixth-fewest rushing yards per contest (96.2).
It may only be a matter of time until Chubb regains his form, but don’t expect it to be this week.
Key stat: Chubb has gone below this total in all five of his games in 2024.
Quick pick
Jeudy over 57.5 receiving yards (-114): Just to be clear, I’m not only making this pick because of revenge. But it doesn’t hurt.
The main reason I like Jeudy to have a big game is the state of Cleveland’s receiving room. The Amari Cooper trade created a massive opening on the team’s depth chart. Cedric Tillman was the first to step into a larger role, but he hasn’t practiced this week due to a concussion.
Jeudy is the wideout who’s starting to take over. He has 379 receiving yards in his last four games and has topped this total in each of those outings.
Cleveland is a 5.5-point underdog in this contest, too, which means it’ll likely be playing catch-up and looking to pass the ball for most of this game.
And there’s the revenge aspect, too, as Denver dealt Jeudy to Cleveland this past March.
Picks made at 3:59 p.m. ET 11/30/2024.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.