American Thanksgiving week is always a special one in the NFL, but the holiday tripleheader is far from the only action for bettors to sink their teeth into.
The latest: It’s a bye-free week, meaning we have 16 games from Thursday afternoon through Monday night. The marquee matchup on the slate is arguably the Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens, which is one of 10 games featuring a spread of 4 points or fewer.
Check out our NFL Week 13 ATS picks for predictions on every game.
NFL Week 13 ATS picks
NorthStar Bets’ Avery Perri, Jordan Horrobin, and Chris Toman offer up their NFL Week 13 ATS picks for all 16 games.
NFL odds as of 8:15 a.m. ET on Thursday, Nov. 28, 2024.
Click odds from any game to add selections to your betslip.
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Thanksgiving Day picks
Chicago Bears vs. Detroit Lions (Thursday, Nov. 28: 12:30 p.m.)
NorthStar Bets line: Detroit -9.5
Horrobin says: The Bears have lost their past two games by a total of four points, so it might seem nice to bank a boatload with them. But on the road against the Lions, I just can’t do it. Detroit is 4-1 ATS at home, winning by an average of 19.8 points. Chicago is 0-3-1 ATS on the road and should be in for another rude awakening in the Motor City.
Pick: Lions -9.5
New York Giants vs. Dallas Cowboys (Thursday, Nov. 28: 4:30 p.m.)
NorthStar Bets line: Dallas -3.5
Perri says: Drew Lock, Cooper Rush and a little tryptophan should put America to sleep in the Thanksgiving afternoon game. That said, I’ll take the Giants to cover as road underdogs. Dallas has the second-worst scoring defence in football and is 0-5 at home this year with a -128 point differential. Lock might not be great but he’s an upgrade over Daniel Jones and Tommy DeVito.
Pick: Giants +3.5
Miami Dolphins vs. Green Bay Packers (Thursday, Nov. 28: 8:20 p.m.)
NorthStar Bets line: Green Bay -3.5
Horrobin says: Miami hasn’t beaten a team with a winning record this season, going 0-4 in those matchups. And Tua Tagovailoa hates the cold. According to the Palm Beach Post, Tagovailoa is 0-7 in games that fall below 40 degrees Fahrenheit. After a 28-point win against the 49ers at home last week, look for Green Bay to stay dominant in the Frozen Tundra.
Pick: Packers -3.5
NFL Week 13 ATS pick: Friday, Nov. 29: 3:00 p.m.
Las Vegas Raiders vs. Kansas City Chiefs
NorthStar Bets line: Kansas City -13
Horrobin says: Kansas City is 10-1, but it rarely wins by a comfortable margin. The Chiefs are 0-10-1 against this line and 5-6 ATS overall. Though I’m not an Aidan O’Connell truther, he was under centre when Las Vegas upset KC on Christmas last year. The Raiders are 3-2 ATS this year as underdogs of a touchdown or more.
Pick: Raiders +13
NFL Week 13 ATS picks: The early Sunday slate
Arizona Cardinals vs. Minnesota Vikings (Sunday, Dec. 1: 1 p.m.)
NorthStar Bets line: Minnesota -3.5
Toman says: Arizona is coming off a brutal loss after reeling off wins in five of its previous six games. James Conner has been silenced in consecutive weeks and now faces one of the NFL’s elite run defences. The Cardinals run game could be non-existent again versus the Vikings, who have covered this number in seven of their nine wins.
Pick: Vikings -3.5
Houston Texans vs. Jacksonville Jaguars (Sunday, Dec. 1: 1 p.m.)
NorthStar Bets line: Houston -4
Horrobin says: Here’s hoping the Jaguars figured some things during last week’s bye after scoring just 13 points in their two previous games. Even with the offensive woes, Jacksonville is 4-1 ATS in its past five. Houston is sketchy on the road (3-3 straight up) and just lost as an 8-point home favourite last week against Tennessee.
Pick: Jaguars +4
Indianapolis Colts vs. New England Patriots (Sunday, Dec. 1: 1 p.m.)
NorthStar Bets line: Indianapolis -3
Toman says: The Patriots are the perfect cure for the Colts, who are coming off their worst loss of the season (mind you, it was against the powerhouse Lions). Indianapolis is a strong 8-4 ATS and has played respectable despite QB changes and a difficult schedule. Only the Giants average fewer points per game than New England.
Pick: Colts -3
Los Angeles Chargers vs. Atlanta Falcons (Sunday, Dec. 1: 1 p.m.)
NorthStar Bets line: Los Angeles -1.5
Horrobin says: L.A.’s offence is humming, as the Chargers have scored 23-plus points in five straight games. Atlanta, meanwhile, has only scored 23 total points over its past two games. The Falcons are No. 25 in the NFL in yards and points allowed, and I expect them to struggle against Justin Herbert and Co. Also, the Chargers are 4-1 ATS in their past five.
Pick: Chargers -1.5
Pittsburgh Steelers vs. Cincinnati Bengals (Sunday, Dec. 1: 1 p.m.)
NorthStar Bets line: Cincinnati -3
Perri says: Pittsburgh was playing great football before losing in a blizzard to the Browns in Cleveland. That was a whacky game and I expect the Steelers to rebound as a road underdog. Mike Tomlin’s group is 2-0 ATS in that spot this season and 10-6 ATS over the last three seasons. Russell Wilson hasn’t been perfect but he should be able to carve up one of the worst secondaries in the league.
Pick: Steelers +3
Seattle Seahawks vs. New York Jets (Sunday, Dec. 1: 1 p.m.)
NorthStar Bets line: Seattle -2
Horrobin says: In its past two road games, Seattle won outright as an underdog. Now all it needs is another tight win over a New York squad that is 3-8 outright and ATS. The Jets are 1-7 ATS in their past eight and 0-3 ATS as underdogs … and their win on Halloween night against the Texans doesn’t look as impressive as it did at the time.
Pick: Seahawks -2
Tennessee Titans vs. Washington Commanders (Sunday, Dec. 1: 1 p.m.)
NorthStar Bets line: Washington -6
Perri says: The Commanders are on a three-game slide after starting the season 7-2, but I trust them to bounce back at home against an awful Titans team. Will Levis is 1-6 in games he started and finished this year, losing five of those by seven-plus points.
Pick: Commanders -6
NFL 4 p.m. slate
Los Angeles Rams vs. New Orleans Saints (Sunday, Dec. 1: 4:05 p.m.)
NorthStar Bets line: Los Angeles -2.5
Toman says: This is a huge game with both teams in the playoff hunt thanks to their weak NFC divisions. Both enter in solid form, but the Rams (4-2 straight up since their Week 6 bye) are the far more dangerous team with all their playmakers healthy again.
Pick: Rams -2.5
Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs. Carolina Panthers (Sunday, Dec. 1: 4:05 p.m.)
NorthStar Bets line: Tampa Bay -6
Perri says: Bryce Young and the Panthers are on a three-game ATS winning streak, securing two of those games outright and playing the Chiefs in a 30-27 nail-biter. Carolina’s offence looks competent right now and Tampa Bay’s defence was getting shelled before last week’s 30-7 win over the Giants. But I still don’t trust that unit and will take Carolina with the points at home.
Pick: Panthers -6
Philadelphia Eagles vs. Baltimore Ravens (Sunday, Dec. 1: 4:25 p.m.)
NorthStar Bets line: Baltimore -3
Perri says: These are two of the league’s best teams but I believe Philly is a cut above Baltimore. The Eagles have been thrashing teams since their Week 5 bye, going 7-0 with a +107 point differential. Philly’s ranks second in EPA per play in that span while Saquon Barkley has emerged as a legitimate MVP candidate. The Ravens aren’t as dominant on both sides of the ball and I expect that to be the difference.
Pick: Eagles +3
Sunday and Monday Night NFL ATS picks
San Francisco 49ers vs. Buffalo Bills (Sunday, Dec. 1: 8:20 p.m.)
NorthStar Bets line: Buffalo -7
Perri says: It feels like San Francisco has to snap out of it at some point but I can’t look past its laundry list of injuries. Nick Bosa and Trent Williams both missed practice on Wednesday while Brock Purdy remains questionable with a shoulder injury. Josh Allen is playing like the MVP and Buffalo is rolling teams at Highmark Stadium with a 5-0 record and a +15.8 average margin of victory.
Pick: Bills -7
Cleveland Browns vs. Denver Broncos (Monday, Dec. 2: 8:15 p.m.)
NorthStar Bets line: Denver -6
Horrobin says: Last week’s snow globe win for Cleveland was a fun one, but I’m not sure it’s replicable on the road against a really solid Denver squad. The Broncos are 5-0 ATS as favourites this year, and Bo Nix has an 11:1 TD-to-INT ratio over his past five games. In four starts for the Browns, Jameis Winston has four interceptions and three fumbles.
Pick: Broncos -6
Staff Week 13 + season-long records: Toman: 6-7 (92-82-5) | Closs: 4-9 (86-88-5) | Psihogios: 7-6 (86-88-5) | Horrobin: 8-5 (83-91-5) | Perri: 7-6 (80-94-5)
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