Two NFC squads jockeying for wild-card position meet on Sunday afternoon as the Green Bay Packers host the San Francisco 49ers.
The pregame narrative: Green Bay is the favourite, but I’m teasing through the zero to back the Pack. I also like Josh Jacobs to find the end zone again and for Jauan Jennings to exceed a very manageable yardage total.
Check out my 49ers vs. Packers same-game parlay predictions for Week 12 below.
49ers vs. Packers same-game parlay predictions
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Parlay: Packers +3.5 + Jacobs anytime TD + Jennings over 52.5 receiving yards (+325)
Packers +3.5 (-278): 49ers coach Kyle Shanahan has gotten the best of his buddy, Packers coach Matt LaFleur, more often than not. But the tide is turning.
LaFleur’s Packers are 2-4 against Shanahan’s 49ers, but Green Bay has covered this number in each of their past four meetings dating back to the 2020 season. That includes last year’s divisional playoff matchup in which Green Bay brought a lead into the fourth quarter as a 10.5-point underdog.
The Packers are favoured in this game, so I’ve paid up for quite a bit of cushion.
- SF is 1-3 ATS on the road and has only covered -3.5 in three of its past nine games.
- GB has covered +3.5 in eight of its past nine games and is 5-1 SU in its past six.
Pay attention to the injury report as kickoff approaches.
Nick Bosa and Trent Williams missed a pair of practices each to start the week, while Brock Purdy (throwing shoulder) and George Kittle (hamstring) logged limited sessions.
Other parlay picks
Jacobs anytime TD (-162): Green Bay’s red zone offence has been brutal this year, converting just 48.7% of opportunities into touchdowns.
Last week, Green Bay failed twice inside the 20-yard line thanks to a goal-line interception from Jordan Love and a failure to convert on fourth down.
If I had LaFleur’s number, here’s what I’d text him: Can we please give the ball to Jacobs more often in the most important part of the field?
The overall volume for Jacobs isn’t a concern. He’s averaging 19.9 touches and 102.4 scrimmage yards per week. And he’s found the end zone five times in his past six games.
After last week’s struggles against the Bears, the Packers should ensure that Jacobs is the focal point of their red zone attack.
San Francisco has allowed 13 rushing TDs so far, which ranks 27th in the NFL.
Jennings over 52.5 receiving yards (-117): Even with Brandon Aiyuk out for the year, Jennings is — at best — the fourth weapon you probably think of in the 49ers’ offence.
It’s time to rethink that.
The seventh-round pick from 2020 has really broken out in Year 4, posting the team lead in …
- Yards/game (73.5)
- Targets (58)
- First downs (30)
This isn’t merely a situation where Jennings has been healthier than everyone else. He’s missed two games, after all.
But when he’s on the field, Jennings is someone Purdy is constantly looking at. Since Week 3, Jennings has been targeted on 29.9% of his routes, per Rotowire.
Jennings is coming off back-to-back weeks of 11 targets and 90-plus yards. Green Bay has plenty of other players to worry about, and this is not an ambitious ask of Jennings.
Picks made at 2:40 p.m. on 11/22/24.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.