Friday night’s NBA Cup action concludes with the Los Angeles Clippers hosting the Sacramento Kings.
The pregame narrative: The Clippers will be shorthanded yet again tonight, with Kawhi Leonard and Norman Powell sitting out. Still, I like L.A. to cover as home underdogs and am adding prop bets on Keegan Murray and Amir Coffey to round out this +275 SGP.
Check out my Kings vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions for Nov. 22.
Kings vs. Clippers predictions
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Parlay: Clippers +6.5 + Murray over 1.5 threes + Coffey over 12.5 points (+275)
Clippers +5.5 (-186): Powell scored a game-high 31 points when the Clippers and Kings met two weeks ago in a game L.A. won on the road, 107-98. So his absence is definitely notable.
But the Powell-less Clippers handled themselves just fine on Wednesday, winning by 11 against the Orlando Magic as 3-point dogs.
Tonight’s spread is about the same, and I feel great about backing the Clips with a little extra cushion.
L.A. has won six straight games at Intuit Dome, and it was an underdog in the two most recent ones (vs. Magic, vs. Warriors).
The Kings are 1-4 ATS in their past five games, losing twice outright as favourites in that span.
SGP legs
Murray over 1.5 threes (-167): I’m hoping Murray can shoot his way out of a slump. And stop fouling so much.
Murray fouled out after playing just 22 minutes on Monday, which is about 15 minutes below his nightly average. He also racked up five fouls the game before.
If he can keep himself in check, canning two or more 3s shouldn’t be a tall order. He’s a career 37.8% shooter from deep and is attempting 5.8 shots beyond the arc this year.
Unfortunately, he’s only connecting at a 29.9% clip. But given his track record, I still think he’s worth a look.
Murray has cashed this bet in eight of 15 games, and he attempted six 3s against the Clippers when he last faced them. That type of volume would put him in a great spot tonight.
Coffey over 12.5 points (-152): James Harden is having a dreadfully inefficient season and Ivica Zubac can only do so much from the paint with Domantas Sabonis on his back. Tonight should be a night for Coffey to make a mark.
- On Wednesday, in his first start of the season, Coffey scored 18 points in 33 minutes.
- He’s averaging 12.2 PPG over his past 10 games, which includes a 14-point effort off the bench against the Kings.
Coffey is shooting 46.4% from 3-point range on 3.5 attempts per game. That number should trend up with Powell on the shelf.
The Kings are a nice matchup for Coffey to exploit beyond the arc. Sacramento allows the fourth-highest 3-point percentage (38.0%) and the third-most attempted 3s per game (40.0).
Picks made at 12:30 p.m. on 11/22/24.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.