Coby White and Devin Booker are featured in tonight’s top prop picks for the eight-game NBA slate.
The pregame narrative: White has a tasty matchup against the Milwaukee Bucks and I’m fading Booker, whose injured Phoenix Suns are reeling. I also have a play on Draymond Green.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Nov. 20.
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Best bet: White over 20.5 points (-121)
Through 15 games, the Chicago Bulls point guard is averaging a career-high 19.9 points.
Tonight, he gets a juicy matchup that he exploited earlier this season. The 24-year-old torched the Bucks for a season-high 35 points in Chicago’s second game.
Targeting opposing PGs versus the Bucks has been a strategy of mine and there’s no reason to shy away from it tonight.
- Milwaukee is surrendering the second-most points to PGs, per Betting Pros.
- The Bucks have a -9.4 net rating when Damian Lillard is on the court, per Basketball Reference’s on/off numbers. Lillard averages a team-high 35.8 minutes per game.
- Only five teams are allowing opponents to shoot better from 3-point range.
This all bodes well for White, who has two 25-plus-point games in his last three and has been excellent from deep.
White is drilling 3.6 threes per game on 9.0 attempts. Both are career-high marks.
He has nailed at least five triples in more than a third of his games and had a season-high seven when he lit up Lillard and the Bucks last month.
Key stat: White is 8-7 versus this line, landing on 20 points two of the times he fell short.
Quick picks
Booker under 38.5 pts/reb/ast (-109): Phoenix is built around a three-headed monster and two-thirds of it is on the sidelines tonight.
Wednesday marks the fifth consecutive game the Suns will play without Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal. They’ve lost all four of the previous matchups.
Phoenix is 1-5 since Durant went down with a calf injury.
With those two out, Booker becomes an easy target for opposing defences. The gifted scorer hasn’t upped his production without Durant.
His PRA stats are essentially flat, which doesn’t come close to this line.
- Booker is averaging 33.4 PRA without Durant
- He’s 1-5 vs. this line without Durant
- The all-star is 3-12 vs. this line on the season
Booker would need to feast on a New York Knicks team that is sure to double-team him and throw excellent defenders his way, such as OG Anunoby.
Green over 22.5 PRA (-104): There’s value here ahead of what’s sure to be a high-scoring game.
As of early Wednesday afternoon, the over/under for Wednesday’s Atlanta Hawks and Golden State Warriors matchup is 239 points. That’s the highest total of the night.
The Hawks are a mess defensively and play at the third-fastest pace in the NBA, which should lead to an excellent night for the Warriors.
- Golden State is 5th in pace and 5th in offensive rating
- Atlanta is surrendering 119.5 PPG (28th in the NBA)
- Warriors have scored 120-plus points in 3 of their last 4
This projects to be a strong environment for Green, the team’s second-leading rebounder, to produce across the board.
With Steph Curry probable, the assists should be there for Green. He has six-plus dimes in five straight.
Green is averaging 24.0 PRA in November, topping this line in six of eight games.
Picks made at 1:38 p.m. ET on 11/20/2024.
Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.