On the latter half of a back-to-back, the Los Angeles Clippers host the surging Golden State Warriors at Intuit Dome.
The pregame narrative: Golden State (10-2) has been one of the top teams so far this season, and I expect it to get revenge on Los Angeles after their matchup went the Clippers’ way last month. This +400 SGP also features prop bets on Stephen Curry and James Harden.
Check out my Warriors vs. Clippers same-game parlay predictions for Nov. 18.
Warriors vs. Clippers predictions
Go to full NBA betting markets
Parlay: Warriors moneyline + Harden over 19.5 points + Curry under 4.5 threes (+400)
Warriors moneyline (-182): Golden State was a 9-point home favourite when it lost to L.A., 112-104, late last month. But that seems to have woken something up in the Warriors.
- GSW is 8-1 straight up and 7-2 ATS since then, rising to the top of the Western Conference
- In just the past two weeks, the Dubs have beaten the Celtics, Thunder and Mavericks
Are the Warriors just a pleasant surprise, or is this for real? They have the third-best net rating (+10.5) and rank third in opponent field goal rate (43.6%).
Golden State was off the past two days, while L.A. just hosted the Jazz last night. The Warriors are 11-2 straight up with a rest advantage since the start of last year, per Team Rankings, and I’m happy to ride their wave.
SGP legs
Harden over 19.5 points (-186): Remember when Harden averaged 30-plus points in three straight seasons? That was three teams and five-plus years ago … and it’s probably not coming back.
But Harden still gets plenty of shots up, and he’s a threat to hit the 20-point milestone every single night.
The 16th-year guard is averaging 20.6 PPG and has cashed this bet in eight of 14 games.
Despite an off night against the Warriors earlier this year (6-of-19 shooting), Harden got to the free-throw line nine times and still finished with 23 points.
Dating back to last season, Harden has tallied 21-plus points in four straight against the Warriors. His ceiling as a scorer isn’t at its peak, but his floor is still very high.
Curry under 4.5 threes (-137): Curry’s 3-point stroke is as elite as ever, but the shot volume is down. So he can still have a strong night from beyond the arc and miss this total.
- 43.2 3PT% (highest since 2018-19)
- 9.0 attempted 3s per game (lowest since 2014-15)
Curry has only played nine games, so it’s quite possible he’ll return to averaging 11-plus attempted 3s as he did in five of the previous six seasons.
This is a nice price to buy in on his volume dip, though, so that’s what I’m going to do.
This season, Curry has gone under 4.5 threes in seven of nine games. He’s also hit this under in five of seven against the Clippers since 2022-23.
Curry is listed as questionable with a knee injury, which is worth monitoring.
Picks made at 12:30 p.m. on 11/18/24.
Looking to get started? Sign up here.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.