It’s an all-Texas showdown on Monday Night Football to close out NFL Week 11.
The pregame narrative: The Houston Texans are road favourites against the spiralling Dallas Cowboys, and I’m laying the points. In the prop market, I expect Nico Collins to have a triumphant return for Houston.
Check out my Texans vs. Dallas best bets for Monday Night Football on Nov. 18.
Texans vs. Cowboys best bets
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Best Bet: Texans -6.5 (-127)
This has been a season to forget for the Cowboys — and for the Dallas fans who’ve paid hard-earned money to watch their team at Jerry World.
Dallas is 0-4 straight up and against the spread inside its home stadium. That’s right … Jake Paul has more wins at AT&T Stadium this year than the boys in blue.
The last time we saw the Texans on the road, they struggled in a 21-13 loss on Halloween night against the Jets. Not great, but the Cowboys are so down in the dumps right now that I really don’t care.
Dallas has been outscored by an average of 23.5 points in its four home games. That’s about as bleak as it gets.
Last Sunday, in Cooper Rush’s first start in place of the injured Dak Prescott, Dallas collected just 146 total yards and six points.
On the other sideline, the Texans are getting a much-needed playmaker back as Collins will suit up for the first time since Week 5. He leads the NFL with 113.4 receiving yards/game and makes a world of difference for Houston’s offensive ceiling.
Dallas is a mess and Houston is hungry for a win. I want no part of the Cowboys’ sinking ship.
Key stat: The Cowboys are 2-5 ATS as underdogs this year.
Quick pick
Collins over 74.5 receiving yards (-121): There was optimism that Collins would be back for Week 10, but the Texans played it safe. Now, the star receiver is coming off a full week of practice and should be completely good to go.
When Collins is healthy, the numbers speak for themselves.
- 93.2 receiving yards per game since the start of last season
- 75+ receiving yards in eight straight regular season games
Teams are getting pretty much whatever they want against the Cowboys this year. Dallas ranks 31st in points allowed and 26th in yards allowed.
Picks made at 2:08 p.m. ET 11/17/2024.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.