Friday night in the NBA features 12 games and plenty of stars.
The pregame narrative: I have plays on two of the biggest names in the game: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Victor Wembanyama. To close out the slate, I’m backing Draymond Green against the Memphis Grizzlies.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Nov. 15.
NBA prop bets
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Best bet: Gilgeous-Alexander under 31.5 points (-121)
The Suns were without Kevin Durant and Bradley Beal on Wednesday night and lost by 23 to the Sacramento Kings.
Phoenix remains on the road and faces another difficult task tonight against the Oklahoma City Thunder.
OKC is without its own star in Chet Holmgren but has won both games since he suffered a hip fracture.
- The Thunder pace the Western Conference with a 10-2 record.
- They have the best defensive rating in the NBA.
- Their +12.6 point differential also ranks No. 1.
What does this all mean? There’s blowout potential here for the 7.5-point favourites.
And if that occurs, Thunder starters are looking at reduced minutes.
Gilgeous-Alexander has been plenty good by traditional and advanced metrics, but his scoring is down and he’s been dreadful from long range.
He topped this line in 44% of his games last season but enters tonight with a 16% hit rate.
Three-pointers are a low-percentage shot for him and he’s taking more than ever, converting 30.9% of his shots from long range.
That’s the second-lowest mark of his career and a nice way to keep his scoring down.
Key stat: The Thunder PG is 2-10 against this line this season.
Quick picks
Wembanyama over 36.5 points/rebounds (-120): The Los Angeles Lakers have gotten killed on the glass by centres this season.
Here’s a sample of how some have done:
- Jarrett Allen: 17
- Jalen Duren: 14
- Rudy Gobert: 14
- Andre Drummond: 12
- Domantas Sabonis: 12
- Jakob Poeltl: 10-plus boards twice
Wembanyama only had six rebounds last game but he can be forgiven after scoring a career-high 50 points.
He totalled 58 points and 30 rebounds in the two games before that.
The San Antonio Spurs phenom is on a heater and uncorking from long range, averaging a robust 3.7 makes on 9.3 attempts this month.
Wembanyama is averaging 10.2 boards despite having more single-digit rebounding games than double digits (though one was a 20-rebound effort).
Only two teams allow more rebounds per game to centres than the Lakers, according to Betting Pros.
Green over 12.5 rebounds/assists (+107): The Golden State Warriors’ veteran forward has topped this number in four of six games this month.
His November has been significantly better than his October across the board. He was 0-5 against this line in October, averaging 8.8 rebounds/assists.
Green is averaging 12.1 in November and has been above this 12.5 line in each of the last four seasons.
This game has the third-highest projected total of the night. Plenty of scoring should help the Warriors’ second-best rebounder pile up assists.
Picks made at 1:31 p.m. ET on 11/15/2024.
Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.