Today’s NBA prop bets are for all the Canadian hoops heads out there.
The pregame narrative: Neither Zach Edey nor Bennedict Mathurin played for Canada at the Paris Olympics, but both players look like promising pieces for our next national team. On Sunday, I’m taking overs on prop markets for Edey and Mathurin while also backing LaMelo Ball to score in bunches.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Nov. 10.
NBA prop bets
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Best bet: Mathurin over 16.5 points (-117)
A shoulder injury held Mathurin out of consideration for Canada’s Olympic men’s basketball roster this past summer, but it’s never too early to start dreaming about his fit for the 2028 squad.
Mathurin, a 6-foot-6 wing from Montreal, is off to an impressively efficient start in Year 3 and was recently bumped into the starting lineup as a result.
- Across the board, Mathurin is tracking toward career-highs in shooting efficiency (including a 52.1% FG rate overall)
- He’s averaging 19.3 PPG in four games since moving into the starting lineup
No team has allowed more points to opposing guards so far than the New York Knicks (84.3 PPG), and that’s who Mathurin will see tonight.
Mathurin is averaging 17.4 PPG in seven career matchups against the Knicks, cashing this bet in five of his past six.
This season, Mathurin has gone over 16.5 points in six of nine games. He’s played 30-plus minutes in each of his past five games and should remain heavily involved in the Indiana Pacers’ offensive game plan.
Key stat: Mathurin is averaging 21.4 PPG over his past five games on 13.6 field goal attempts.
Quick picks
Ball over 28.5 points (-120): This is a big number, but Ball has been on fire so far this season and the Philadelphia 76ers pose an encouraging matchup for him.
The fifth-year point guard is averaging a career-high 28.4 PPG through his first nine games, thanks in large part to a huge volume of 3-point attempts.
- Ball is averaging 12.4 attempted 3s per game, which leads the NBA
- He’s scored 30-plus points in five of nine games, including two of three on the road
The 76ers have allowed league-high rates in field goal percentage (51.1%) and 3-point percentage (40.5%) to opposing guards, per NBA.com.
This should be a dream matchup for a volume shooter like Ball.
Edey over 17.5 points/rebounds (-107): I’ll admit I was skeptical of Edey’s NBA prospects coming out of Purdue. I thought he was too slow on defence and too undisciplined as a fouler to stick.
Looks like I’m wrong, which is great news for Canada’s men’s team down the road — and for the Memphis Grizzlies right now.
The Toronto native has averaged 11.1 points and 6.7 rebounds (17.8 PR) so far, and a lot of that production has come in the past five games.
Since Oct. 31, Edey is averaging 13.4 PPG and 9.0 RPG, cashing the over on this bet in four of five matchups.
The Portland Trail Blazers allow the fourth-most rebounds per game in the NBA, so Edey should only need to hover around 10-12 points to hit this over.
Picks made at 9:32 a.m. ET on 11/10/2024.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.