Alabama vs. LSU college football Week 11 best bet: Tigers should cover at home

Alabama vs. LSU picks

Buckle up, because there are major College Football Playoff implications in this week’s showdown between the No. 11 Alabama Crimson Tide and the No. 15 LSU Tigers.

The pregame narrative: This is the type of matchup the expanded playoff (love it or hate it) caters to. Both teams have everything on the line, and I’m looking at LSU to cover at home.

Check out my Alabama vs. LSU best bet for this ranked Week 11 matchup.

Alabama vs. LSU best bet

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Best Bet: LSU +3.5 (-138)

In seven games since, they’ve allowed just 208.9 passing yards/game and have forced 12 turnovers. On the season, their 3.9 yards/rush on defence ranks 43rd in the country.

A night game in Death Valley is one of the best atmospheres in the sport. So it should surprise no one that LSU is 14-4 ATS at home since the 2022 season.

Alabama has only played two road games since the back half of September, and it lost both outright as a favourite (at Tennessee, at Vanderbilt).

Key stat: LSU is 3-1 ATS in its past four games and has covered in two of its past three matchups against Alabama.

Pick made at 11:30 a.m. on 11/08/2024.

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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.