Three moneyline picks make up this week’s NFL parlay.
The pregame narrative: The Pittsburgh Steelers return from their bye week to take on the red-hot Washington Commanders. I say they win and am also backing the Buffalo Bills and Minnesota Vikings as road favourites.
Check out my NFL Week 10 parlay picks for Sunday’s action.
NFL Week 10 parlay picks
Go to full NFL Week 10 betting markets.
Parlay: Steelers moneyline + Bills moneyline + Vikings moneyline (+418)
Steelers moneyline (+135): Pittsburgh is the biggest risk on this ticket but it’s hard to not feel good about what Russell Wilson is cooking.
The veteran QB has led the Steelers to back-to-back wins over the New York Giants and Jets, exceeding 400 yards of offence in both games.
The Commanders are a great offensive team but have flaws on defence which I don’t think the recent acquisition of Marshon Lattimore will immediately fix.
Mike Tomlin also has a superb record against rookie quarterbacks and should find ways to make Jayden Daniels uncomfortable (it helps to have T.J. Watt flying off the EDGE).
Tomlin is 25-6 all-time versus rookie signal callers and has won seven straight games following the bye.
Other parlay picks
Bills moneyline (-200): I thought this was going to be a down year for the Bills … man was I wrong.
Josh Allen is playing out of his mind and the defence has been a pleasant surprise, ranking eighth in scoring (19.2 PPG) and 11th in EPA per play.
The Indianapolis Colts are riding with Joe Flacco in favour of the benched Anthony Richardson and I don’t think that bodes well for them. That’s not to say Richardson is a better option but Flacco looked awful in his last start against a great Vikings defence.
Indy’s secondary is suspect and Allen has led Buffalo to a prolific offence through the air, ranking third in EPA per dropback.
Vikings moneyline (-220): The Jacksonville Jaguars have looked frisky lately but that hasn’t manifested itself in many wins.
Jacksonville is 2-7 this year with its only victories coming against the New England Patriots (in London) and Indianapolis Colts. The Jags are an abysmal 3-12 going back to Week 13 of last year, losing five of those games by more than a score.
The Vikings, meanwhile, have rode an elite defence and strong quarterback play from Sam Darnold to a 6-2 record.
Brian Flores is dialling up pressure at an absurd rate that I don’t think Trevor Lawrence will be able to handle. The Vikings lead the league in blitz (39.9) and pressure (30.8) percentage and are second in defensive EPA per play.
NFL picks made at 3:10 p.m. on 11/06/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.