After Tuesday’s night off, the NBA is back with a loaded 12-game slate tonight.
The pregame narrative: I’m targeting guards Jalen Suggs, Russell Westbrook and Jalen Brunson.
Check out the best NBA prop bets for Wednesday, Nov. 6.
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Best bet: Suggs over 18.5 points (-113)
Point guards have lit up the Indiana Pacers this season, including Suggs.
Suggs is averaging a career-high 17.6 points — five points more than his previous best — and dropped 25 on Indiana at the end of October.
He had a season-best 28 after that and has cleared this line in two of the three games star Paolo Banchero has been sidelined.
Suggs is getting major run for an Orlando Magic team that needs his production with Banchero (oblique) out indefinitely. The 23-year-old has played 35-plus minutes in four of his past five games.
More minutes have led to increased shot volume, including from long range where he’s nailing 2.5 a night at a respectable 35.7% rate.
Suggs has also been adding a few points a night from the line, where he’s shooting 90.0%.
Five different point guards have scored more than 20 points on the Pacers over their seven games.
Key stat: Indiana is allowing the fourth-most points to PGs in the NBA, according to Betting Pros.
Quick picks
Westbrook over 20.5 points/rebounds (-112): The veteran guard has only cleared this line twice in seven games. But his situation and role with the Denver Nuggets has entirely changed.
The Nuggets are without two-fifths of their starting rotation, including point guard Jamal Murray.
Westbrook is coming off a season-high 34 minutes (his second straight 30-plus minute game), dropping 21 points with six boards.
Getting to 20 against the Oklahoma City Thunder (No. 1 in the NBA in defensive rating) will be difficult, but Denver will need Westbrook to be aggressive offensively.
Aaron Gordon is also out, meaning Denver is missing 30-plus points per night between him and Murray.
Westbrook should also benefit from playing a team that’s weak on the glass. OKC ranks 27th in the NBA in rebounding rate and surrenders the most to opposing point guards.
He had five rebounds against them in 21 minutes in his Nuggets debut.
Westbrook has largely been in a reserve role the last few seasons but averaged 21.1 points/rebounds, according to StatMuse, in the 32 games he started for the Los Angeles Clippers since 2023.
Brunson over 2.5 threes (+102): Brunson’s long-range volume is down but he’s shooting 50.0% from deep on five attempts per game.
He has cleared this line in half his games and gets an ultra-juicy matchup versus the Atlanta Hawks tonight:
- Atlanta ranks 28th in PPG allowed
- Last in opponent 3-point percentage
- 29th in PPG allowed to point guards
Opponents are averaging 42.8 threes against them per game, which is also the most in the NBA.
Brunson has the sixth-highest usage rate in the NBA, according to StatMuse, and gets a Hawks team playing at the third-fastest pace. He won’t be short on opportunities to carve them up on Wednesday.
Picks made at 1:16 p.m. ET on 11/06/2024.
Chris joined NorthStar Gaming from Covers.com where he was a publishing editor and wrote betting content. Before that, he was the sports editor at VICE Canada, worked for theScore and covered the Blue Jays for MLB.com. In addition to filling out the lineup card each day for the editorial team, Chris writes frequently himself, primarily on the NBA and MLB.