I’m targeting two of the Eastern Conference’s best teams in this +296 NBA parlay.
The pregame narrative: The Cleveland Cavaliers are undefeated and the Boston Celtics are borderline unstoppable at home. I like both teams to win and am also taking the Phoenix Suns to cover as home favourites against the Miami Heat.
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Parlay: Cavaliers moneyline + Celtics -4.5 + Suns -5.5 (+296)
Cavaliers moneyline (-295): Cleveland is the East’s last unbeaten team and has been demolishing opponents en route to an 8-0 record.
The Cavs have a +12.7 net rating (fourth-best in the NBA) and the league’s best true shooting percentage (63.0%).
Donovan Mitchell and Darius Garland make up a dynamite backcourt averaging a combined 43.6 PPG, and they should have a field day against the New Orleans Pelicans’ depleted roster.
Dejounte Murray, Trey Murphy III and CJ McCollum are all out, which means Jose Alvarado and Jordan Hawkins are the team’s 1-2 combo. Zion Williamson also missed Monday’s game with a hamstring injury and is considered day-to-day.
Even on the road, I expect the Cavs to rout the Pelicans.
Other picks
Celtics -4.5 (-186): Boston is coming off a season where it went 37-5 during the regular season on its famed parquet floors, posting the best regular season home net rating (+15.5) since the 2016-17 Golden State Warriors.
The Celtics were just as dominant in the playoffs (8-2) and are off to a 2-0 start at TD Garden so far.
Sure, the 6-1 Warriors are on a roll right now and have Steph Curry back in the lineup, but they have barely had to play any tough teams so far. Golden State has beaten New Orleans (twice), Washington, Utah, Portland and Houston — and only the Rockets are above .500.
I expect reality to set in for an average team against a true juggernaut.
Suns -5.5 (-109): Phoenix has rattled off five straight wins since losing on the road to the Los Angeles Lakers on Oct. 25.
The Suns are a perfect 4-0 at home with the eighth-best home net rating (+6.3) in the NBA. They haven’t been a great ATS team (2-5), but neither have the Heat (2-4).
Miami is 2-0 on the road but those wins came against the Hornets and Wizards.
I think this will be a matchup nightmare for Miami, who is allowing opponents to shoot 44.3% from the midrange, the eighth-worst mark in the NBA according to Cleaning the Glass.
Kevin Durant and Devin Booker are prolific scorers from that area of the court and should have big nights.
Picks made at 1:43 p.m. on 11/05/2024.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.