The Tampa Bay Buccaneers and Kansas City Chiefs collide in a Super Bowl 55 rematch.
The pregame narrative: Tampa Bay beat Kansas City in the Big Game a few years ago. The latter, however, enters Monday Night Football as a significant favourite. Travis Kelce should propel the Chiefs to victory, while Bucky Irving should best a modest receiving yards prop.
Check out my Buccaneers vs. Chiefs prop picks for Monday Night Football on Nov. 4.
Buccaneers vs. Chiefs prop picks
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Best Bet: Kelce over 64.5 receiving yards (+112)
This is a game where Kelce should absolutely feast.
The Buccaneers are a dream matchup for tight ends and pass catchers in general. They’re allowing the fourth-most passing yards per game (255.4) and the third-most to tight ends (64.8), according to Yahoo Fantasy.
Kelce’s involvement in the offence has increased drastically since the injury to Rashee Rice.
Check out his numbers from Weeks 1 to 3 and his numbers since.
| Week 1 to 3 average stat line | Week 4 to 8 average stat line |
| 2.7 receptions, 23 receiving yards | 7.5 receptions, 66.5 receiving yards |
There’s been a significant spike in his outputs with the offence’s top receiver out.
The addition of DeAndre Hopkins adds another option to this group, but it’s fair to wonder just how much he has in the tank. Hopkins entered the season with an MCL injury and is 32 years old.
Xavier Worthy is an intriguing prospect, but he’s a big-play receiver and not a possession guy. He’ll continue to be a volatile option and not someone who’ll command a lot of volume.
This offence will continue to flow through its best player, meaning Kelce should deliver in primetime.
Key stat: Kelce has topped this total in three of his last four games.
Quick pick
Irving over 14.5 receiving yards (-120): Tampa Bay’s wide receiver room has been hit hard by injuries.
Chris Godwin is out for the year and Mike Evans is sidelined again. That means there’s a significant amount of targets available in this offence.
Week 8 marked the Buccaneers’ first game without their star receivers and it was Irving who benefitted the most. He led the team in target percentage (23%) and caught all seven of his targets for 40 yards.
Irving has totalled 148 receiving yards across the last three weeks and should continue to be active in the receiving game with Evans and Godwin out.
Picks made at 6:06 p.m. ET 11/02/2024.
Stevie’s an avid NFL, NHL, and tennis bettor who has no problem talking himself into the underdog. His previous stops include Yahoo! Sports Canada and Toronto Metropolitan University, where he received a degree in Sport Media.