One moneyline pick and two alternate spreads make up this week’s NFL parlay.
The pregame narrative: The San Francisco 49ers host the Kansas City Chiefs in a Super Bowl rematch and I say the Niners get revenge. Elsewhere, I’m teasing the Cleveland Browns and Las Vegas Raiders up to 10.5-point underdogs.
Check out my Week 7 parlay picks for the NFL season.
NFL Week 7 parlay picks
Go to full NFL Week 7 betting markets.
Parlay: 49ers moneyline + Raiders +10.5 + Browns +10.5 (+315)
49ers moneyline (-117): The Niners were oh-so-close to dethroning the Chiefs last year … but they didn’t, and now Kansas City has its sights set on a three-peat.
Will Patrick Mahomes and Co. get another ring? I won’t look that far down the line but I’m content fading them on Sunday.
San Francisco flexed its offensive muscles last week, scoring 36 points against the Seattle Seahawks on the road.
Kyle Shanahan is still missing Christian McCaffrey but the rest of the unit is healthy. That should be enough to beat a Chiefs team without Rahsee Rice, Isiah Pacheco and Hollywood Brown.
Kansas City is undefeated but looks far from perfect. JuJu Smith-Schuster and Kareem Hunt were elite players back in 2019 but I don’t trust them to lead the Chiefs against a solid 49ers defence.
I understand I’m betting against Andy Reid off a bye and Patrick Mahomes as an underdog. Those are two trends most sports bettors will swear by. But San Fran had an extended rest of its own, having not played since Thursday Night Football.
Other parlay picks
Raiders +10.5 (-190): The Raiders and Browns both traded away their top receiver — Davante Adams and Amari Cooper, respectively — but I like each team to cover as sizeable underdogs.
Let’s start with the Raiders. They’re going up against a Los Angeles Rams team which is 1-4 and has failed to cover this number in 11 straight games dating back to last season.
Aaron Donald is gone and the defence has certainly felt it. L.A. has allowed the fifth-most yards and fourth-most points per game.
This is technically a road game but I expect Raider Nation to take over SoFi Stadium. Covering 10.5 points shouldn’t be difficult.
Browns +10.5 (-220): Now we head to Cleveland, where the Browns insist on starting Deshaun Watson despite every data point suggesting otherwise.
Watson has been the worst quarterback in the league by several metrics, including RBSDM.com’s EPA per play. But the Browns get Nick Chubb back and I think he’ll play a pivotal role in cutting up a Bengals defence which can’t stop the run.
Cincinnati is 2-4 and has failed to cover this number in both of its wins.
Joe Burrow is also 1-5 against the Browns in his career with an 86.4 passer rating. At home, Cleveland should keep this divisional matchup close.
NFL picks made at 2:25 p.m. on 10/16/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.