Josh Allen and the Buffalo Bills look to stay atop the AFC East standings as they face the New York Jets on Monday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: Buffalo (3-2) is a game ahead of New York (2-3) and could put further distance between the teams in the Week 6 finale. Allen is 6-2 in this matchup since 2020, but his Bills have lost back-to-back road games against the Jets.
Check out our Josh Allen props, odds and best bet for Week 6 of Monday Night Football.
Josh Allen props
Click linked odds to add selection to your betslip. Note: Lines have changed/market no longer available if grey.
| Allen prop markets | Betting odds |
| Over 199.5 pass yards | -120 |
| Under 199.5 pass yards | -109 |
| Over 34.5 rushing yards | -104 |
| Under 34.5 rushing yards | -125 |
| Over 238.5. passing/rushing yards | -113 |
| Under 238.5 passing/rushing yards | -115 |
| Over 1.5 passing TDs | +175 |
| Under 1.5 passing TDs | -240 |
| Anytime TD scorer | +143 |
| Over 0.5 interceptions | -129 |
| Under 0.5 interceptions | -103 |
NFL odds as of 12:10 p.m. ET on 10/14/2024.
Many folks who watched the Bills face the Houston Texans last week might’ve thought Allen suffered a concussion on a hit that caused his head to smack the turf.
Allen went to the sideline but only missed a few minutes of game time.
This week, the NFL and NFLPA issued a joint statement in approval of how the concussion protocol was handled. That’s an encouraging sign for the health situation of Allen, who was a full practice participant throughout the week.
Allen’s availability isn’t in doubt, which is especially positive for a Bills squad that has other question marks on offence.
James Cook (toe) and Khalil Shakir (ankle) both logged limited practices on Saturday after missing practice earlier in the week. Cook is preparing to play, but both he and Shakir are officially listed as questionable.
Assuming Allen is actually healthy, he may need to shoulder even more of the offensive workload than usual with a pair of key contributors banged up.
Best Allen prop bet
Best Bet: Allen over 199.5 passing yards (-120)
Traditionally, this is a number Allen has routinely cleared with ease.
Allen has averaged 250-plus pass yards per game in each of his past four seasons. Last year, he threw for 200+ yards in 14 of 19 games (playoffs included).
I’m skeptical about how effective Cook will be tonight, or at least how heavily involved he’ll be. So far, the Bills have run the ball on 49.8% of their plays, which is the seventh-most in the NFL.
That may need to change based on how Cook and/or Allen are feeling, health-wise.
Due to the run-heavy nature of the Bills’ offence, Allen has only cleared this passing yards prop in two of five starts. And the Jets are a challenging matchup for opposing QBs, as they’re allowing the second-fewest pass yards per game (136.6).
This is a perceived volume play, though, and I’m heartened by how Allen has put up yards against New York in the past.
Since 2021, Allen has averaged 247.7 pass yards/game against the Jets and cashed this prop in five of six matchups.
Pick made at 12:10 p.m. ET on 10/14/2024.
Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.