The Dallas Cowboys’ electric offence meets the Pittsburgh Steelers’ pesty defence for Sunday Night Football.
The pregame narrative: With the lights shining bright, I’m backing defence over offence. That’s why I’m taking the under on a teased-up total. Add a Justin Fields and Jake Ferguson prop to make up a nice +460 SGP.
Check out my Cowboys vs. Steelers same-game parlay predictions for Week 5 below.
Cowboys vs. Steelers same-game parlay predictions
Parlay: Under 46.5 points + Fields over 179.5 passing yards + Ferguson over 39.5 receiving yards (+460)
Under 46.5 points (-159): Pittsburgh went well under this total (25.7 points/game) in its first three outings before last week’s 51-point outburst with the Indianapolis Colts.
Anthony Richardson threw for 71 yards on 3-of-4 passing before picking up a hip injury. Joe Flacco stepped in and continued to slice up the Steelers’ defence for 168 more yards and two touchdowns.
It was an uninspiring first quarter for Pittsburgh, allowing 14 points. But the defence showed out after that, holding the Colts to 10 points for the rest of the contest.
Everything in me is screaming that it was an outlier performance for the Pittsburgh defence. I expect life to be tough for Dak Prescott on Sunday night.
Dallas has gone over this total in three of its four games but totalled just 35 points with the New York Giants on Thursday Night Football last week.
This week’s visit with the Steelers should emulate that gritty primetime atmosphere. Their defence has allowed the fourth-fewest yards (284.0) and second-fewest points (13.3) per game.
Other parlay picks
Fields over 179.5 passing yards (-143): In our Week 5 ATS picks, I’m choosing the Steelers to cover a -2.5 spread and a lot of my reasoning lies with Fields.
In Week 3, Fields threw for 245 yards against the Los Angeles Chargers and followed that up with a 312-yard performance vs. the Colts in Week 4.
The Cowboys’ defence has been nothing special through four games as it allows the ninth-most total yards per game (364.5) and the 13th-most passing yards (209.5).
Three of the four QBs to play Dallas this season have surpassed this mark.
Ferguson over 39.5 receiving yards (-162): Ferguson has developed into the second option for Prescott.
Despite missing a game, he is second on the team in receptions (15) and third in receiving yards (159).
With T.J. Watt and the Steelers’ defence applying heavy pressure and the heightened focus on CeeDee Lamb, Ferguson should be a safety net for his QB.
The tight end has cleared this total in consecutive weeks since returning from injury and is averaging 53 receiving yards per game.
Picks made at 9:34 a.m. on 10/06/24.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.