One moneyline pick and two overs make up this week’s NFL parlay.
The pregame narrative: The Green Bay Packers have a good shot to bounce back and improve to 3-2. Elsewhere, back the over in the Buffalo Bills and Houston Texans game and in the Cleveland Browns and Washington Commanders matchup.
Check out my Week 5 parlay picks for the NFL season.
NFL Week 5 parlay picks
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Parlay: Packers moneyline + Bills/Texans over 47.5 points + Browns/Commanders over 43.5 points (+485)
Packers moneyline (-163): Green Bay waited a little too long to start clicking last week and fell short to the Minnesota Vikings, 31-29.
With it being Jordan Love’s first game back from injury, there were chemistry issues early but it was figured out in the second half.
Love and Co. scored 22 points in the fourth quarter and despite losing, the offence showed what it can do at full strength.
The Packers quarterback ended with 389 passing yards and four touchdowns. Furthermore, the Vikings’ defence has been elite this year holding opponents to 14.8 points per game.
Los Angeles, on the other hand, has conceded the second most points in the league (115) which equals out to 28.8 per game.
On offence, the Rams’ receiving core is missing its two best players due to injury (Puka Nacua, Cooper Kupp) and the results have been uninspiring.
L.A. is 1-3 on the season and has only scored more than 20 points once. I find it hard to envision the Rams keeping pace with the Packers.
Other parlay picks
Bills/Texans over 47.5 points (-110): The Bills had a bad performance last week, scoring just 10 points but Josh Allen is still an elite playmaker.
Even after the poor effort in Week 4, Buffalo still scores the second most points per game (30.5).
Another thing working in favour of the over is CJ Stroud and Houston’s improved offence at home.
Last season, Stroud threw 1,288 more passing yards and 11 more TDs when playing at NRG Stadium. The same trend has continued to start the new year as the signal caller recorded 156 more passing yards in his home appearances with fewer interceptions.
I think these two offences are primed for a shootout on Sunday.
Browns/Commanders over 43.5 points (-110): Washington has the feel of an elite scoring team even behind rookie QB Jayden Daniels.
The second-overall pick completed 82.1% of his passes for 897 yards and three TDs through four weeks. He’s added another 218 yards on the ground with four more scores.
Daniels had led the offence to the third most points scored per game (30.3) and is only getting better as the season goes on.
To contrast that awesome offence is a pretty bad defence. The Commanders allow the fifth most yards per game (369.8) and the seventh most points (25.5).
This is the best shot that Deshaun Watson will have to get his Browns back on track.
NFL picks made at 4:00 p.m. on 10/02/24.
Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.