I’ve got one TD pick for each game of tonight’s Monday Night Football doubleheader.
The pregame narrative: In South Beach, I’m backing Tyreek Hill to find the end zone with a new quarterback under centre. Later on, Sam LaPorta is my pick when the Detroit Lions host the Seattle Seahawks.
Check out the best MNF Week 4 TD picks for tonight’s doubleheader.
MNF Week 4 TD picks
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Best bet: LaPorta anytime TD (+185)
I’m backing LaPorta to clear his 39.5 receiving total as part of a +410 same-game parlay, so why stop there?
This should be an excellent matchup for Detroit’s sophomore tight end, who is coming off a great rookie season. LaPorta led all TEs in touchdowns (10) last year while ranking fourth in catches (86) and fifth in targets (120).
He’s a sure-handed, proven red zone threat that should get a lot of work against Seattle.
The Seahawks are off to a 3-0 start thanks in large part to their secondary. That unit has allowed the fewest passing yards per game and has the second-best defensive EPA per dropback, per RBSDM.com.
So why is that a good thing for LaPorta? Well, the top dogs on that secondary are Devon Witherspoon and Tariq Woolen, and they’ll be tasked with slowing down Amon-Ra St. Brown and Jameson Williams. That should create some nice matchups for our guy.
And if you look at Seattle’s injury report, you’ll see it lists two starting inside linebackers: Boye Mafe (out) and Jerome Baker (hamstring, questionable).
The middle of the field is LaPorta’s office. He should have an easier time getting open tonight.
Key stat: Seattle has allowed the fifth-most receiving yards per game to tight ends this season.
Quick picks
Hill anytime TD (+185): Picking a TD scorer from a matchup with Will Levis and Tyler Huntley under centre seems nasty, but I do like Hill’s chances.
At the end of the day, you can’t teach speed and Hill has it in spades.
The veteran wideout is capable of taking the top off any defence and erupted for an 80-yard score in Week 1. He’s struggled since, but that was with Skylar Thompson as his quarterback. I’m banking on Huntley doing what’s best for himself and the team, which means throwing the ball to Hill.
Last year, Hill scored 13 touchdowns and amassed an NFL-best 1,799 receiving yards. If Mike McDaniel is as big of an offensive mastermind as we’ve been led to believe, he will find a way to get that man open.
Chidobe Awuzi is out and L’Jarius Sneed (hamstring) is listed as questionable. That should help free up Miami’s offensive playmakers, most notably Hill.
Picks made at 11:10 a.m. ET on 09/30/2024.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.