A pivotal NL West matchup headlines Wednesday’s MLB slate.
The pregame narrative: The San Diego Padres took the first of three games against the Los Angeles Dodgers and the division battle gets that much closer. In this one, I’m exploring player prop markets for Shohei Ohtani, Fernando Tatis and Jurickson Profar.
Check out my Padres vs. Dodgers prop picks for Sept. 25.
Padres vs. Dodgers prop picks
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Best Bet: Ohtani over 0.5 runs (-125)
I almost vowed for a plus-money bases prop but then I noticed Ohtani’s recent success in this market.
In the past nine games, he’s scored 13 total runs and cashed this wager eight times.
It’s been quite the legendary run for the soon-to-be NL MVP but he does see Dylan Cease on the mound tonight and the Padres’ ace has a good career record against Ohtani.
Cease has held the slugger to 3-for-13 hitting but that does include two home runs. In their first meeting this season, Ohtani went hitless but that was in the middle of his coldest spell of the season.
Right now, he may be the hottest he’s been all year so I expect a different result.
Since August 17, the Dodgers’ star is hitting .338 with 16 HRs, 37 RBI and just 38 Ks over the 157 plate appearances.
Key stat: Ohtani has scored 38 runs in those 34 games.
Quick picks
Tatis over 1.5 total bases (+118): I want to target a few Padres so let’s start here.
Tatis has cleared this line in four of six games and has a good chance to add to his success tonight.
In six at-bats against Jack Flaherty, San Diego’s slugger has three hits — two of which were doubles.
Before going hitless yesterday, Tatis had at least a base knock in 11 straight games prior. He’s on fire at the plate and has gotten on Flaherty before.
Profar over 0.5 runs (+148): Here’s another guy who’s been a major part of San Diego’s offence.
Profar has 20 hits over his last 16 games and has scored 12 runs. He’s scored in four straight games and has a good past against Flaherty.
In eight at-bats, Profar has four hits which have all gone for extra bases (two doubles, two homers). That equals out to a 1.500 SLG.
Another aspect working in our favour is who hits behind the Padres’ outfielder. Profar bats third when everyone is in the lineup, in front of the trio of Manny Machado, Jackson Merrill and Xander Bogaerts.
The three combined for 235 RBI this season so I’m predicting strong aid if Profar gets on base.
Picks made at 11:01 a.m. ET 09/25/2024.
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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.