EPL Matchday 4 picks and predictions: Back Chelsea and Newcastle United to win

EPL Matchday 4 picks

I’m backing two away sides in my EPL Matchday 4 picks.

The pregame narrative: Chelsea has been inconsistent this season but has a good chance to get a win over AFC Bournemouth on the road. On Sunday, expect Newcastle United to get the victory over Wolverhampton.

Check out the best EPL Matchday 4 picks.

EPL Matchday 4 picks

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Best Bet: Chelsea to win (+100)

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Getting Chelsea at plus-money to win against Bournemouth is too good to pass up.

Even though the Blues are a pedestrian 1-1-1 to start the season, the loss comes against Manchester City who is cruising at 3-0-0.

Bournemouth is nowhere near the level of City with just one win. It came in a game against Everton where the side was down 0-2 as late as the 80th minute. The Cherries ended up pulling out the 3-2 victory but I don’t expect a stronger side to have such a monumental collapse.

Chelsea won its only other away fixture, 6-2, in a dominant showing over Wolverhampton.

Now, I don’t believe the Blues will win the Premier League or anything, but this feels like a strong get-right spot for Chelsea who can jump Bournemouth in the standings with a win.

Despite their record, the London club is top-five in shots on target per game (6.0), goals per game (2.3) and completed passes per game (464.7).

Key stat: Chelsea has won three of the past four matches against Bournemouth.

Quick pick

Newcastle United to win (+112): As eluded to earlier, the Wolves’ 6-2 loss over Chelsea is just a chapter in their poor season.

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The side has yet to win a match and has a goal differential of -6 through three games. The squad finished 14th in the EPL last season and this season hasn’t started any better.

Newcastle, on the other hand, is a team on the rise in the Premiership. They finished seventh last year and have a 2-1-0 record to start this campaign.

In its final meeting of the 2023-2024 campaign, Newcastle walked away with a 3-0 win. The defence held Wolverhampton’s attack to a measly four shots.

The Wolves have been outshot and trailed on possession in all three games so far whereas Newcastle is coming off a win over Tottenham.

I’m riding with the momentum and taking the Magpies to come away from this match with three points.

Picks made at 10:28 a.m. on 09/12/24.

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Spencer is a true sports junkie. A graduate of the Sports Journalism program at Centennial College, he first joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2023. He is now a contributing writer. He loves finding the edge to bet on in all sports but has a deep passion for the NBA and UFC. Previous stops include Sportsnet.