Two player props and a moneyline pick make up today’s MLB parlay.
The pregame narrative: Tarik Skubal is cruising toward the AL Cy Young and is in a great spot to rack up strikeouts against the Seattle Mariners. Elsewhere, I like the New York Yankees to bounce back and Marcell Ozuna to rake.
Check out the best MLB parlay picks for Tuesday, Aug. 13.
MLB parlay picks
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Parlay: Skubal over 6.5 strikeouts + Yankees moneyline + Ozuna over 1.5 bases (+305)
Skubal over 6.5 strikeouts (-210): Skubal’s last start was against the Mariners in Seattle and he struck out nine in 7.0 IP.
That marked the third straight game where he logged eight-plus strikeouts. I am playing the over on his 7.5 K total tonight (+105) but will tease it down just a smidge for this parlay.
Skubal has gone over this mark in eight of his last nine outings, dominating teams like the Kansas City Royals (eight Ks), Los Angeles Dodgers (eight Ks) and Philadelphia Phillies (seven Ks).
Seattle doesn’t hold a candle to any of those offences.
The Mariners have the third-highest K rate against left-handed pitching (26.2%) and are 25th in wRC+ vs. lefties since the all-star break (82).
Skubal has a 91st percentile K rate (30.1%), per Baseball Savant.
Other picks
Yankees moneyline (-295): Yesterday I backed the Yankees to cover a -1.5 run line … they lost 12-2.
That marked the only time this season the Chicago White Sox have beaten a team by 10-plus runs. As embarrassing as that is I won’t be discouraged in going back to the Bronx Bombers tonight.
Chicago is still 2-24 in its last 26 games with a -77 run differential, after all.
New York starter Nestor Cortes has also dominated the Sox’s lineup. In 50 plate appearances, he has held Chicago to a .184 batting average with a 32.0% K rate.
Ozuna over 1.5 bases (+104): While the rest of the Atlanta Braves lineup has regressed, Ozuna is putting up his best season in a while.
The 33-year-old designated hitter is batting .302 with 35 home runs and 90 RBI.
He’s done most of his damage against lefties (.343/.432/.569 slash line) and gets to go up against San Francisco’s Kyle Harrison tonight.
The second-year southpaw has a 4.08 ERA and gives up an incredible amount of hard contact.
Harrison has an 11th-percentile hard-hit rate (44.2%) and a seventh-percentile average exit velocity (90.7 mph).
Ozuna has cleared this mark in six straight games and is poised to stay hot.
Picks made at 11:00 a.m. on 08/13/24.
Avery joined NorthStar Gaming as an intern in 2022 before stepping into a full-time role soon after. He loves betting on and analyzing golf — mainly because it’s easier than actually playing — but is a fan of all sports, from the NFL to the UFC.