In Monday’s late-night window, the Los Angeles Clippers host Joel Embiid and the Philadelphia 76ers.
The pregame narrative: Embiid hasn’t played enough to earn an all-star spot, but he’s scoring at an elite level right now. His points prop is the feature prediction of tonight’s +300 SGP.
Check out my same-game parlay 76ers vs. Clippers picks, featuring a prop bet on Tyrese Maxey.
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76ers vs. Clippers picks
SGP: Embiid over 28.5 points | Maxey over 6.5 assists | 76ers +5 (+300)
Embiid over 28.5 points (-114): Embiid seems like he’s all the way back as a scorer.
The two-time scoring champ has missed several games this season, which is unfortunately par for the course. But he just put together a hell of a month in January:
- 14 games
- 29.7 PPG
- 20+ points in every game
- 53.7 FG%
- 85.4 FT%
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Embiid has cashed this bet in seven straight games, punctuated by a 40-piece last time out.
He’s also playing huge minutes (34.1/game), and the only games he missed in January were on the front or back end of back-to-backs.
It wasn’t too long ago that Embiid’s points prop would sit in the low-30s on a nightly basis. He’s on a roll and well worth backing at this number.
NBA SGP pick
Maxey over 6.5 assists (-132): If Embiid is going to keep scoring at will, who better to facilitate those buckets than Maxey?
We’ve seen some massive scoring outputs from the all-star guard, but they’ve been fewer and further between since Embiid stepped up his offensive game.
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- Maxey has gone over 6.5 assists in eight of his past nine games, averaging 8.0 assists in that span.
- On the season, Maxey is averaging 6.9 APG and is 27-19 vs. this prop.
This is a bar Maxey clears more often than not, and that should continue amid Embiid’s rise.
76ers ATS prediction
76ers +5 (-177): The Clippers were among the very best home teams in the NBA last year, going 32-12 in their inaugural season at Intuit Dome.
L.A.’s home-court advantage hasn’t been as prominent this season, leading to a 13-9 record for the Clips in Inglewood. On a back-to-back after a three-game road swing, this is a good spot to fade the home team.
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- Philadelphia has the NBA’s best ATS record on the road this season (14-6-0).
- The Sixers, who were off last night, are 9-5-0 ATS with a rest advantage.
- Back in November — without Embiid — the 76ers beat the Clippers in Philly, 110-108.
The Sixers have covered this number in seven of their past nine games, and I expect more of the same on Monday.
76ers vs. Clippers picks made at 12:25 p.m. on Feb. 2, 2026.
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Jordan enjoys writing data-driven game previews and analysis articles — especially for MLB markets or NFL/NBA props. And as a proud Ohio University grad, he’ll always have a soft spot for college sports (especially if the Bobcats are involved). Previous stops include mlb.com, Sportsnet and The Athletic.